This graph shows what percentage of trips were made by bike in Auckland from 2003 to 2011. It is done on a rolling 2 year average of survey results. I have included Wellington and Christchurch to give a comparison.
However, as you can see, this graph is not very exciting right now. There does not appear to be massive, double digit growth in cycling rates (as a percentage of all trips) going on in any of these cities right now.
These graphs are based on the Household Travel information Survey which is probably the best source of info we have on cycling rates but WARNING WARNING is still probably not that reliable.
This is largely because the number of cyclists in the survey in any given city is so small (ranging from 20 to 60) that it may be difficult for them to accurately extrapolate to work out the total number of trips made by bike.
I guess you could potentially interpret this graph as showing a small increase in Auckland cycling rates, from 0.26% of all trips to 0.83%. But I doubt it would be a significant trend, although I don’t have time to analyse it myself.
But that’s ok! Because in future our brilliant advocacy (and rising petrol prices) will make the graph look like this.
Right guys? What do you think? Am I being too optimistic or too conservative in thinking we might achieve 5% mode share by 2017? Perhaps the goal should be for 2022 instead. What do you reckon?